👋 Welcome Back!
Week 5 is here, and the Goosepoop website is loaded up for another huge weekend of MHSAA football.
Updated team ratings, projected spreads, over/unders, win probabilities, playoff odds, and more are live for matchups across Michigan. The computer model rankings have also been updated after four weeks of results, giving us a very clear picture of where teams stand heading into the second half of the regular season.
Below, we’ll break down some of the biggest games and storylines to watch in Week 5. For the full slate, rankings, projections, and more, head over to the Goosepoop website.
Before we get into it, make sure to subscribe below and get the Goosepoop newsletter delivered straight to your inbox every game day morning👇
🎙️ The Goosecast
If you want to hear us dive deeper into Week 5 of the 2026 MHSAA football season, check out the latest episode of the Goosecast below👇
We break down the biggest Week 5 matchups, the latest computer model rankings, playoff picture, and everything else happening around Michigan high school football.
If you guys enjoy the content, make sure to subscribe! We’ve got new episodes dropping every week throughout the season.
🔍 Week 4 Review
Week 4 gave us some huge results across the state.
To nobody’s surprise, it helped computer model clean up some of the early-season bugs and gave us a much clearer picture of where teams actually stand heading into Week 5.
Lets jump into week 4👇
First things first, here’s how the Top 30 games by Goosepoop Game Score played out last week:
Week 4 gave us plenty to talk about. First and foremost, we have our weekly superlative awards. All the interesting facts about week 4 can be found here.
Looking for the big surprises across the state? Check out our Top 10 upsets from Week 4 here: Top 10 upsets from week 4.
Want the full picture from around Michigan? We’ve got every Week 4 result from across the state all in one place here.
Through 4 weeks, here are your top offenses and defenses in the state of michigan.
Alright, that’s enough review. We’ll end with a Survivor Island update. After four weeks of football, just 73 undefeated teams remain heading into Week 5. Here they are:

📊 Computer Rankings
Alight, the second week of computer rankings are here!
We’ll start with the Super 25, our ranking of the top 25 teams in Michigan regardless of division. Check it out:
From there, we’ve also updated the Top 10 rankings in all eight divisions, giving you a full look at where teams stack up heading into Week 5. Check those out here.
We also ran the numbers by conference, giving us a better look at which leagues are the toughest in the state. Check out the top 20 conferences by computer rating here.
And finally, some teams made a serious jump after Week 4. We broke down the biggest risers here.
👀 Week 5 Preview
Not to be dramatic, but week 5 could be one of those week’s we remember for years to come — the matchups are that good. Our top game even scored a 98.8/100 in the game score metric🤯
First things first, we put together the Top 30 games of Week 5, sorted Goosepoop Game Score. Check them out here. Clarkston vs. Oxford, Cass vs. King, and GP South vs. Romeo headline the week, but there is plenty more!
Looking for points? We also broke down the games with the highest and lowest projected over/unders this week, giving you a look at the matchups the model expects to be shootouts and defensive battles. It’s looking like West Catholic might have another shootout on their hands…
We’ve also got several undefeated vs. undefeated matchups on the schedule. Some teams are looking to build on their best start in decades, others are just looking to continue program tradition. Either way, 9 teams are leaving Survivor Island this week. Check those matchups out here.
And of course, we ran the numbers on the games this week. Check out our Top 30 Week 5 game spreads, over/unders, and win probabilities here. If you thought Clarkston vs. Oxford was good already, wait until you see the spread😳
Want the spread, over/under, win probability, and full breakdown for every Week 5 matchup? Check out the Goosepoop website for projections on every game across the state.
Finally, we made our picks for this week’s top 10 games as per usual. Check out who we’re rolling with below👇
Goose and the fans are tied for the lead😬😬
🏆 Looking Ahead
For the first time this season, we have a look at where every team stands in the race for the postseason. It’s still early enough that most teams have plenty of hope, but we’re finally far enough into the season to start projecting what the playoff field could look like.
Want to know what your team’s odds of making the playoff bracket are? Check out the full playoff odds here.
We also projected the what the regions could look like, using the computer model and playoff point formula. Check those out here.
There’s still a long way to go and plenty will change, but consider this your first little taste of playoff season 👀
🫡 Same Time Next Week
That’s everything we’ve got heading into Week 5.
The computer model is settling in, the playoff picture is starting to take shape, and we’ve got another loaded slate of games that should tell us even more about where things stand across the state.
Enjoy the games, follow along with all of our Week 5 projections on the Goosepoop website, and let us know what you think!
We’ll be back next week to break it all down.
Love,
Goose & Doak


