Week 4 is here, and the Goosepoop website is updated with everything you need for another full slate of MHSAA football.

Check out updated team ratings, projected spreads, over/unders, win probabilities, and more for matchups across Michigan. Plus, our first computer model rankings of the season are officially live, giving us our first data-driven look at where teams stack up across each division.

Below, we’ll break down some of the biggest games and storylines heading into Week 4, but you can find the full slate, rankings, and all of our projections on the site.

Before we get into it, make sure to subscribe below and get the Goosepoop newsletter delivered straight to your inbox every game day morning 👇

If you want to hear us dive deeper into Week 4 of the 2026 MHSAA football season, check out the latest episode of the Goosecast below 👇

We break down our first computer model rankings of the season, the biggest Week 4 matchups, and everything else happening around Michigan high school football.

If you guys enjoy the content, make sure to subscribe! We’ve got new episodes coming every week throughout the season.

Watch here: Goosecast | Previewing MHSAA Football Week 4

Well, week 3 was just as fun as we expected.

It helped clear things up a bit and gave us a much better picture of the 2026 MHSAA football landscape. A lot went down across the state, and we’re finally starting to see who’s for real.

First things first, here’s how the Top 20 games by Goosepoop Game Score played out last week:

No superlatives, upsets, or top offenses and defenses this week. We’ll have all of that coming at you next week.

For now, we’ll wrap things up weekly review with a Survivor Island update. There are just 97 undefeated teams left heading into Week 4. Here they are:

Three weeks of football are officially in the books, which means we finally have enough data to roll out our first Goosepoop computer rankings of the 2026 season.

These rankings are based entirely on 2026 results. No preseason expectations. No 2025 carryover. Just what teams have done on the field through the first three weeks.

With only three games of data for most teams, things will still move around quite a bit. But as the season goes on and the model gets more information, the rankings will only get more accurate.

And already, there are some interesting results.

Four defending state champions are back at No. 1 in their divisions, while four new teams have taken over the top spot.

Check out the full top ten in each division here.

Week 4 is where things really start to come into focus with the model.

We’ve got a HUGE rivalry matchup going down in Birmingham, some razor-thin spreads in the I8, and plenty of other pivotal games across the state. Let’s get into the biggest matchups and storylines heading into Week 4.

First things first, we put together the Top 20 games this week, sorted by Goosepoop Game Score. Check them out here.

And here is how the model expects those games to play out: Week 4 model projections.

Want the spread, over/under, and full breakdown for every Week 4 matchup? Check out the Goosepoop website for projections on every game across the state.

Finally, we made our picks for this week’s top 10 games as per usual. Check out who we’re rolling with below 👇

The fan’s lead has started to shrink 👀

That’s everything we’ve got heading into Week 4.

We’ve got our first computer rankings of the season, a clearer picture of the 2026 landscape, and another huge slate of games that should make things even more clear.

Enjoy the games, follow along with all of our Week 4 projections on the Goosepoop website, and let us know what you think!

We’ll be back next week to break it all down.

Love,

Goose & Doak