Final 2024 MHSAA Football Ratings

hey everyone -

hope 2025 is off to a great start for y’all

i just updated my site with final 2024 computer ratings for every team

pop over & see every 11-man high school football team’s final computer rating

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one note on these

(long time readers can skip)

my computer ratings are NOT rankings

these do not congratulate teams for winning the state championship, for instance

(that’s what the state tournament is for)

rather, these show who would be favored vs who on a neutral field

this is not a reflection of reality, which often differs from my model (about ~17% of the time, to be exact)

cass tech + some other observations

one glaring difference between reality & my model is cass tech

they finish at team #5 in division 1, despite winning it all

that’s likely due to their week 1 loss to rockford + mid-season loss to mlk

if we dropped those losses from the model & ran it on only playoff data, we’d very likely see them at the top

cass tech finishes as the lowest rated champ to win it all; here’s how the rest of the divisions went:

• cass tech - #5

• olsm - #1

• zeeland west - #2

• goodrich - #2

• pndp - #1

• lumen christi - #1

• millington - #1 (wasn’t the favorite to start, they moved up over the course of the playoffs from ~#4, so don’t give me credit here)

• beal city - #3

not bad - we never get all #1’s finishing as state champs

in fact, I expected to get ~3 #1s right at the start of the playoffs, and we were basically dead on, with olsm, pndp, and lumen winning it all:

january 4th basketball rankings

late christmas present here!

yesterday i pulled all data for both boys & girls basketball through jan 4

here’s how the top 10’s in each division turned out:

(boys)

(girls)

i’ll have full data for 2025 on my site soon (click here to see last year’s ratings for all 700+ teams)

are you a michigan high school baseball coach?

if so, and you’re going to the convention this weekend, i’d love to meet you

i’ll be there with a booth for the company i started, teamfi

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that’s it for this week’s post guys

thanks for reading 😀 

love,

goose