Boy's Basketball Bracket Preview Guide

Hi Guys!

Welcome back to Goosepoop, newsletter #61!

In today’s note, we’ve got a special edition. The Boy’s Basketball State Tournament starts next week Monday, and we’ve spent some time preparing the below guide to get you ready for all the action.

Within, you’ll find the following sections:

• Quadrant Superlatives: An analysis of the ~45 teams within each Division’s quadrants

• District Rankings: A look at the top two strongest & weakest districts in each Division

• Bracket Projection: Our projected District Champs / Sweet 16 / Elite 8 / Final 4 for each Division

• Potential District Matchups: A look at the biggest potential matchups of the District round

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If you’re new to our newsletter, you’ll want to check out each of our previous two posts on applying our computer model to Boy’s Basketball.

Both are linked below:

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QUADRANT SUPERLATIVES

One note: all stats below are per the Goosepoop Computer Model

Also, if you’d like to check out the actual .pdf copies of the brackets, you can do so on the MHSAA site at this link:

• MHSAA Boy’s Basketball Brackets

DIVISION 1

D1, QF3

• Best Team: Cass Tech

• Worst Team: Livonia Churchill

• Best Offense: Cass Tech

• Worst Offense: Livonia Churchill

• Best Defense: Ann Arbor Huron

• Worst Defense: Livonia Churchill

D1, QF1

• Best Team: Grand Blanc

• Worst Team: Pontiac

• Best Offense: Carman-Ainsworth

• Worst Offense: Waterford Kettering

• Best Defense: Grand Blanc

• Worst Defense: Flint Kearsley

D1, QF4

• Best Team: North Farmington

• Worst Team: SCS Lakeshore

• Best Offense: U-D Jesuit

• Worst Offense: SCS Lakeshore

• Best Defense: North Farmington

• Worst Defense: Warren Mott

D1, QF2

• Best Team: Muskegon

• Worst Team: Sturgis

• Best Offense: Muskegon

• Worst Offense: Sturgis

• Best Defense: GR Northview

• Worst Defense: Lansing Everett

DIVISION 2

D2, QF5

• Best Team: Flint Hamady

• Worst Team: Kingsley

• Best Offense: Flint Hamady

• Worst Offense: Kingsley

• Best Defense: Cadillac

• Worst Defense: Tri - County

D2, QF8

• Best Team: Ferndale

• Worst Team: Detroit Frontier Int’l

• Best Offense: Ferndale

• Worst Offense: Detroit Frontier Int’l

• Best Defense: Warren Fitzgerald

• Worst Defense: Hazel Park

D2, QF6

• Best Team: GR South Christian

• Worst Team: Dowagiac

• Best Offense: GR Catholic Central

• Worst Offense: Muskegon Orchard View

• Best Defense: GR South Christian

• Worst Defense: Kentwood Grand River Prep

D2, QF7

• Best Team: Summit Academy

• Worst Team: Dearborn Henry Ford

• Best Offense: Chelsea

• Worst Offense: Dearborn Henry Ford

• Best Defense: Summit Academy

• Worst Defense: Dearborn Henry Ford

DIVISION 3

D3, QF12

• Best Team: Detroit Loyola

• Worst Team: Hope of Detroit Academy

• Best Offense: Detroit Loyola

• Worst Offense: Hope of Detroit Academy

• Best Defense: Detroit Loyola

• Worst Defense: Hope of Detroit Academy

D3, QF11

• Best Team: Laingsburg

• Worst Team: Dearborn Riverside Academy

• Best Offense: Ecorse

• Worst Offense: Dearborn Riverside Academy

• Best Defense: Laingsburg

• Worst Defense: Dearborn Riverside Academy

D3, QF9

• Best Team: TC St Francis

• Worst Team: Hesperia

• Best Offense: St Ignace

• Worst Offense: Charlton Heston Academy

• Best Defense: TC St Francis

• Worst Defense: Hesperia

D3, QF10

• Best Team: GR Calvin Christian

• Worst Team: Bloomingdale

• Best Offense: GR Calvin Christian

• Worst Offense: Gobles

• Best Defense: GR Covenant Christian

• Worst Defense: Bloomingdale

DIVISION 4

D4, QF13

• Best Team: Painesdale Jeffers

• Worst Team: Ojibwe Charter

• Best Offense: Painesdale Jeffers

• Worst Offense: Mackinac Island

• Best Defense: Norway

• Worst Defense: Ojibwe Charter

D4, QF16

• Best Team: Genesee Christian

• Worst Team: Southfield Manoogian

• Best Offense: Genesee Christian

• Worst Offense: Southfield Manoogian

• Best Defense: Genesee Christian

• Worst Defense: Marshall Academy

D4, QF14

• Best Team: LL St Mary

• Worst Team: Grand Traverse Academy

• Best Offense: LL St Mary

• Worst Offense: Grand Traverse Academy

• Best Defense: McBain Northern MI Christian

• Worst Defense: Grand Traverse Academy

D4, QF15

• Best Team: Wyoming Tri - Unity Christian

• Worst Team: Coldwater Pansophia Academy

• Best Offense: Kalamazoo Phoenix

• Worst Offense: Coldwater Pansophia Academy

• Best Defense: Wyoming Tri - Unity Christian

• Worst Defense: Coldwater Pansophia Academy

DISTRICT ANALYSIS

Division 1

#1 Deepest District

• #2 Brother Rice

• #8 Orchard Lake St Mary’s

• #42 West Bloomfield

• #45 Birmingham Groves

• #40 Bloomfield Hills

• #115 Birmingham Seaholm

#2 Deepest District

• #4 Cass Tech

• #11 Detroit MLK

• #12 River Rouge

• #31 Detroit Western

• #116 Dearborn Fordson

• #167 Melvindale

#1 Weakest District

• #117 Lincoln Park

• #157 Allen Park

• #158 Taylor

• #170 Wyandotte Roosevelt

• #179 Southgate Anderson

#2 Weakest District

• #61 L’Anse Creuse

• #111 Chippewa Valley

• #166 Sterling Heights

• #169 Fraser

• #178 SCS Lakeshore 

Division 2

#1 Deepest District

• #20 Goodrich

• #27 Flint Powers

• #43 Lake Fenton

• #49 Durand

• #86 Ortonville Brandon

#2 Deepest District

• #4 GR Christian

• #10 FH Eastern

• #26 Ionia

• #62 GR West MI Aviation

• #84 Portland

• #92 Lake Odessa Lakewood

#1 Weakest District

• #69 Redford Union

• #117 Livonia Clarenceville

• #140 Redford Westfield Prep

• #169 Garden City

• #170 Canton Prep

#2 Weakest District

• #47 Boyne City

• #127 Grayling

• #146 Cheboygan

• #152 Kalkaska

• #167 Kingsley

Division 3

#1 Deepest District

• #12 Riverview Gabriel Richard

• #27 Erie Mason

• #33 OL Whiteford

• #43 Arbor Prep

• #47 Monroe SMCC

• #80 Blissfield

#2 Deepest District

• #20 Jackson Lumen Christi

• #38 Jonesville

• #46 Homer

• #54 Concord

• #68 Hanover-Horton

#1 Weakest District

• #102 Lawton

• #148 Hartford

• #150 Decatur

• #168 Gobles

• #173 Bangor

• #178 Bloomingdale

#2 Weakest District

• #3 Detroit Edison

• #109 Detroit Central

• #160 Detroit Cristo Rey

• #177 Hamtramck Oakland Int’l

• #180 Detroit Academy of the Americas

• #181 Hope of Detroit Academy

Division 4

#1 Deepest District

• #10 Fowler

• #19 Lansing Christian

• #37 Portland St Patrick

• #64 Fulton

• #158 Ashley

#2 Deepest District

• #5 Detroit Douglass

• #7 Detroit Public Safety 

• #17 Allen Park I-C Baptist

• #102 Melvindale Academy for Business & Tech

• #112 Lutheran Westland

• #113 Westland HV Lutheran

#1 Weakest District

• #33 Hillsdale Academy

• #98 Litchfield

• #111 Camden-Frontier

• #148 North Adams-Jerome

• #157 Hillsdale Will Carleton

• #173 Marshall Academy

#2 Weakest District

• #48 Colon

• #85 Mendon

• #116 Tekonsha

• #121 Burr Oak

• #166 Athens

• #176 Coldwater Pansophia

BRACKET PROJECTIONS

Division 1

District Champs

• #1: Petoskey

• #2: Midland Dow

• #3: Flint Carman-Ainsworth

• #4: Grand Blanc

• #5: Rochester Adams

• #6: Waterford Mott

• #7: Milford

• #8: Howell

• #9: GR Northview

• #10: Muskegon

• #11: Hudsonville

• #12: East Kentwood

• #13: Kalamazoo Central

• #14: BC Central

• #15: Lansing Waverly

• #16: Okemos

• #17: AA Skyline

• #18: AA Huron

• #19: Belleville

• #20: Detroit CC

• #21: Dearborn

• #22: Detroit Cass Tech

• #23: Lincoln Park

• #24: Temperance Bedford

• #25: Detroit U-D Jesuit

• #26: North Farmington

• #27: Brother Rice

• #28: Troy

• #29: Warren De La Salle

• #30: Grosse Pointe South

• #31: L’Anse Creuse

• #32: Port Huron Northern

Sweet 16

• Midland Dow

• Grand Blanc

• Rochester Adams

• Waterford Mott

• GR Northview

• Muskegon

• Lansing Waverly

• Okemos

• AA Skyline

• Detroit CC

• Dearborn

• Cass Tech

• Brother Rice

• North Farmington

• Warren De La Salle

• Grosse Pointe South

Elite 8

• Grand Blanc

• Rochester Adams

• Muskegon

• Lansing Waverly

• Detroit CC

• Detroit Cass Tech

• North Farmington

• Warren De La Salle

Final 4

• Grand Blanc

• Cass Tech

• Muskegon

• North Farmington

Division 2

District Champs

• #33: Kingsford

• #34: Boyne City

• #35: Cadillac

• #36: Standish-Sterling

• #37: Bridgeport

• #38: Saginaw

• #39: Flint Hamady

• #40: Alma

• #41: Sparta

• #42: Spring Lake

• #43: GR Catholic Central

• #44: GR Christian

• #45: GR South Christian

• #46: Hamilton

• #47: Benton Harbor

• #48: Marshall

• #49: Olivet

• #50: Chelsea

• #51: Adrian

• #52: Ida

• #53: Summit Academy

• #54: Redford Union

• #55: DH Robichaud

• #56: Detroit Voyageur

• #57: Detroit University Prep

• #58: Chandler Park

• #59: Ferndale

• #60: Warren MI Collegiate

• #61: Pontiac ND Prep

• #62: Goodrich

• #63: Croswell-Lexington

• #64: Richmond

Sweet 16

• Kingsford

• Cadillac

• Flint Hamady

• Saginaw

• GR Catholic Central

• GR Christian

• GR South Christian

• Hamilton

• Olivet

• Chelsea

• Summit Academy

• Voyageur Prep

• Ferndale

• Warren MI Collegiate

• Croswell-Lexington

• Goodrich

Elite 8

• Cadillac

• Flint Hamady

• GR Christian

• GR South Christian

• Chelsea

• Summit Academy

• Ferndale

• Goodrich

Final 4

• Flint Hamady

• Ferndale

• Summit Academy

• GR South Christian

Division 3

District Champs

• #65: Ishpeming Westwood

• #66: Iron Mountain

• #67: St Ignace

• #68: Tawas

• #69: Beal City

• #70: McBain

• #71: TC St Francis

• #72: Mason County Central

• #73: Blanchard Montabella

• #74: North Muskegon

• #75: GR Calvin Christian

• #76: Pewamo-Westphalia

• #77: Schoolcraft

• #78: Lawton

• #79: Brandywine

• #80: Bronson

• #81: Laingsburg

• #82: Leslie

• #83: Lumen Christi

• #84: Napoleon

• #85: Clinton

• #86: Riverview Gabriel Richard

• #87: Plymouth Christian

• #88: Ecorse

• #89: Detroit Edison

• #90: Detroit Loyola

• #91: Bishop Foley

• #92: New Haven

• #93: Millington

• #94: Flint Beecher

• #95: Saginaw Nouvel

• #96: Cass City

Sweet 16

• Iron Mountain

• St Ignace

• TC St Francis

• McBain

• GR Calvin Christian

• Pewamo-Westphalia

• Schoolcraft

• Bronson

• Laingsburg

• Napoleon

• Plymouth Christian

• Ecorse

• Detroit Edison

• Detroit Loyola

• Saginaw Nouvel

• Flint Beecher

Elite 8

• Iron Mountain

• TC St Francis

• GR Calvin Christian

• Schoolcraft

• Laingsburg

• Ecorse

• Detroit Loyola

• Flint Beecher

Final 4

• TC St Francis

• GR Calvin Christian

• Laingsburg

• Detroit Loyola

Division 4

District Champs

• #97: Ironwood

• #98: Painesdale Jeffers

• #99: Norway

• #100: Powers North Central

• #101: Munising

• #102: Rudyard

• #103: Mackinaw City

• #104: Indian River Inland Lakes

• #105: Gaylord St Mary

• #106: LL St Mary

• #107: Frankfort

• #108: McBain Northern MI Christian

• #109: Hillman

• #110: Ubly

• #111: Kingston

• #112: Mt Pleasant Sacred Heart

• #113: Baldwin

• #114: Fruitport Calvary Christian

• #115: Wyoming Tri-Unity Christian

• #116: Fowler

• #117: Eau Claire

• #118: Howardsville Christian

• #119: Kalamazoo Phoenix

• #120: Colon

• #121: Hillsdale Academy

• #122: Lenawee Christian

• #123: Taylor Trillium

• #124: Detroit Douglass

• #125: Southfield Christian

• #126: Everest Collegiate

• #127: Genesee Christian

• #128: MC Cardinal Mooney

Sweet 16

• Painesdale Jeffers

• Norway

• Rudyard

• Indian River Inland Lakes

• Gaylord St Mary

• LL St Mary

• Hillman

• Mount Pleasant Sacred Heart

• Tri-Unity Christian

• Fowler

• Kzoo Phoenix

• Colon

• Taylor Trillium

• Detroit Douglass

• Genesee Christian

• MC Cardinal Mooney

Elite 8

• Painesdale Jeffers

• Rudyard

• LL St Mary

• Hillman

• Tri-Unity Christian

• Kzoo Phoenix

• Taylor Trillium

• Genesee Christian

Final 4

• Painesdale Jeffers

• Genesee Christian

• Tri-Unity Christian

• LL St Mary

HUGE *POTENTIAL* DISTRICT MATCHUPS

While these matchups aren’t 100% going to occur (each district bracket has to go as projected), the games below are the potential ones next week between teams currently rated in the T20 of their division:

D1:

• #5 Grand Blanc vs. #10 Davison

• #13 GR Northview vs. #14 Rockford

• #17 East Kentwood vs. #20 Byron Center

• #4 Cass Tech vs. #11 Detroit MLK

• Cass Tech / Detroit MLK vs. #12 River Rouge

• #6 U-D Jesuit vs. #19 Oak Park

• #2 Brother Rice vs. #8 Orchard Lake St Mary’s

• #7 De La Salle vs. #16 Hamtramck

D2:

• #11 Cadillac vs. UR Hart (Hart is Undefeated)

• #6 GRCC vs. #17 Unity Christian

• #4 GR Christian vs. #10 FH Eastern

• #5 MI Collegiate vs. #8 Warren Lincoln

D3:

• #15 Potter’s House vs. #8 Covenant Christian

• Potter’s House / Covenant Christian vs. #7 Calvin Christian

• #10 Pewamo-Westphalia vs. #11 Northpointe Christian

• #2 Flint Beecher vs. #14 Burton Madison (Flint Elite)

D4:

• #10 Fowler vs. #19 Lansing Christian

• #3 Kzoo Phoenix vs. #6 Bellevue

• #5 Detroit Douglass vs. #17 AP I-C Baptist

• Detroit Douglass / AP I-C Baptist vs. #7 Detroit Public Safety

• #9 MC Cardinal Mooney vs. #20 Oakland Christian

We will be back next week Monday with spreads & over/unders for each!

That’s all for our inaugural Boy’s Basketball Bracket Preview Guide! Thank you guys for reading!

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